BAYOURADAR WEATHER ANALYSIS

Weather Discussion #1792

Current short-term severe-weather analysis.

BayouRadar Mesoscale Discussion graphic for #1792
CURRENT ANALYSIS

Weather Discussion #1792

SUMMARY

A threat for hail and localized severe gusts will continue into the evening

DISCUSSION

Scattered strong to severe storms are ongoing at 23 UTC from eastern CO into the NE Panhandle. MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg and effective shear of 30-40 kt (greater with northward extent) will continue to support organized storm structures into this evening, with a continued threat for isolated hail and severe gusts. Potential for organized upscale growth may tend to be limited by generally weak large-scale ascent and the expected lack of nocturnal low-level jet development. However, moist low-level easterly flow may allow for some clustering along expanding outflows, supporting a continued localized severe-wind risk as convection spreads eastward with time. ..Dean.. 07/28/2026