CURRENT ANALYSIS
Weather Discussion #1791
SUMMARY
A locally higher threat for a QLCS tornado or severe gusts exists over the next couple of hours
DISCUSSION
The northern end of a cold-pool-driven MCS/QLCS is beginning to traverse a stationary baroclinic boundary, where leading-line intensification has been noted. Despite overall modest vertical wind shear, enhanced streamwise vorticity along this boundary may promote a locally heightened risk of leading-line mesovortex development over the next 1-2 hours. Should such development occur, a focused threat for a severe gust or brief QLCS tornado will exist given ample low-level moisture and 1500+ J/kg MLCAPE. ..Squitieri.. 07/28/2026